CheGuevara Picks

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1 Hnl & czech

Dinamo – Cibalia , dinamo -2 @1.77 comeon
stake: 5/10
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/croatia/1-hnl/d-zagreb-cibalia/be8SgAQk/#ah

Dinamo finally with no injury worries like before, at the moment just four players missing, Karimi(mf), Leskovic(df) and Goncalo(mf) are long term injuries, Antolic(mf 7/1) got injury in last game and will miss but thats not problem Dinamo have wide roster and all this isnt problem at all.

Cibalia worst team in league definitelly, club is in financial problems, players were without wages for more than 2 months but finally last week they got some money, still atmosfhere is bad… Khatib(mf 1/0), Muzenjak(mf 4/0), Zderic(df 4/0) and best player Vitaic(mf 11/4) are all injured. Key defender Zgrabalic(df 11/0) is also out, huge handicaps for Cibalia’s weak roster. Coach also said its bad for them because Dinamo is hunting Rijeka and Dinamo is very agressive at the moment and they will want to win here with many goals and that can be problem for Cibalia… all in all huge quality difference, must win situation for Dinamo and Cibalia with many imp absences. I see easy home win and one side game, gl

Czech

Slavia – Slovacko 1 @1.25

banker game for me

Slovacko made big succes in last round taking a point vs Plzen, Plzen killed them whole game, had more than 65% ball posession, Slovacko was just defending and wasting time and at the end Slovacko happy with 1 point. Now again they will met strong team but this time on away ground and with very different team comapred to that vs Plzen because in game vs Plzen Slovacko got 3 suspensions, three key defenders Rada(df 9/1), Kostu(df 10/1) and Simko(df 8/0) are all suspended! Huge blow. Civic(mf 7/1) and Biolek(mf 3/0) are injured.
Slovacko will prefer defensive tactic here and with this absences in defence i cant see them to get home from this trip with a point(s).

Slavia is in amazing form, 5 wins in a row (also won in city derby vs Sparta!), atmosfhere is very very good. Mood of the players is flying high, they are hungry for more wins and more goals. No important absences, all key players in roster. Quality on home side, i see home win here.

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Serbia

Backa – Radnik , radnik +0,75 @1.88 sbobet
stake: 3/10

i cant see Backa as such a huge favourite here, team which score small number of goals and wins the game on some crazy ways, true at home they are playing slight better but still Backa is 2nd league material for me. Added to that they miss key midifler Bjelos(mf 10/0) with a suspension, also Cekovic(mf 10/0) is injured, two important absences on this small roster can hurt a lot.

Radnik is poor team too, i dont like them, but for sure they are better team than Backa, maybe they will lose today but even if they lose that wont be with more than 1 goal diff imo so this bet is pretty safe.

gl

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Serbia

Radnik – Napredak , napredak +0ah @1.74 188bet
stake; 4/10

Radnik with ton absences… Adamovic(mf 10/1), Vukovic(df 9/1) and Gojkovic(df 8/0) are suspended, new signed striker Merdovic(att 2/1), new signing Vlahovic(mf 3/0), Franciss(att 3/0), Stankovic(att 6/0) and Jovanovic(att 6/2) injured. First keeper Cancarevic(10/0) had some injury troubles too before last game but he played last game so i guess he is ok.

Napredak is having amazing start of season, after 10 rounds they have 16pts and are 6th on table, very positive surprise, they even took point vs Zvezda and a win vs Partizan, also draw with Vojvodina (3 best teams in league), they are really good. At the moment they are having run of 5 games without a lose in league. Really team for respect.

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Free Croatia

Rijeka – Split , rijeka -1,75 @1.76 sbobet
stake : 3/10

Rijeka is on amazing strike, atmosfhere in team was never better than now.. they are leading the table with 1 game less than Dinamo and 1pt more than Dinamo, goal difference 21:6 , in last round they won Dinamo with big 5-2 …. Everyone in club is beliving in winning title and fighting till end for it, every game is like final for them till the end.

After Cibalia and Istra for me Split is having one of worst rosters, problem is in the club who have financial problems from the start and they lost all players from last season.. added to that they play really bad and team is having lot of injuries and suspensions, Obsivac(df 7/0), Maglica(df 5/0), Chevdukas(mf 7/0), Vidovic(mf 2/0), Jukic(mf 4/0) and Topic(gk) are all injured, Jakic(mf 7/0) and Bakaj(att 9/1) got suspensions and miss too! Totally missing 8 players, for sure 5 of them would be starters if they were available…

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Serbia

Vozdovac – Borac , vozdovac -0,5 @1.63 pinnacle
stake 4/10

odd dropped but live after 10min of play you will have same odds as starting ones

Borac change many players and change the coach, they started season bad its obivious that they need time to adapt to each other and start playing good. In starting two rounds they played very bad, in first game vs Metalac 1-0 but deserved score was 3-0 or 4-0 for Metalac cuz they totally killed them, its obivious Borac is bad away from home, now for this trip key defender Tanasin(df 2/0) is suspended, important defender Maslac(df 1/0), Savic(mf 1/0), Kostic(mf 0/0) and Vujaklija(att 2/0 , last season top scorer!) are injured.  http://prntscr.com/c2di8v

Vozdovac now can use new signings B. Jovanovic(great midifler) and D. Boljevic(experienced defender) who got papers, Uros Nikolic is still waiting. They played great first round vs Spartak but unlucky and didnt realize their chances so result stayed 0-0 (than Spartak got 3-0 win becuase Vozdovac used 15y old player which is not allowed)

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Croatia 1 hnl

Split – Rijeka , rijeka -0,5 @1.73 pinnacle
stake: 4/10
FT 0-3 win  Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D

Split lost 5 important first team players from last season and made just four new signings and i dont like any of them… For this season they have very young team, many youngsters got promotion in senior team as club is having some financial troubles, Jakic(mf), Chevdukas, Misic, Vasilj, VIdovic, Franjic, Grubisic are all unavailable for this game and its big blow! Full squad for RIjeka and much better team and more experienced one, expect away win here

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Cro1

Rijeka – Zapresic, rijeka -1,5 @1.83 pinnacle
stake: 4/10
ft 4-0 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/croatia/1-hnl/rijeka-zapresic/df87r3xb/#ah

Rijeka at home is unstoppable, they have to win games like this cuz they are in title fight and they cant afford loosing points at home anymore. For this game no important absences.

Zapresic on this trip with four suspended players, Covic(first gk 7/0), Blazevic(mf 25/2), Celikovic(df 25/1) and best striker Nestorovski(att 25/16 top scorer) are all suspended, also Begic(df 13/1) is injred, All five important players!

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Serbia

Vozdovac – Jagodina 1 @1.75 sbobet
stake: 4/10
Ft 1-0 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/serbia/super-liga/fk-vozdovac-jagodina/0KWO8Vhe/#1×2

Jagodina is one of worst teams this season, in previous round we bet against them and they lost at home… now situation is nothing better, they still have absences, they still have problems with keepers. and on away ground they are terrible.

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Macedonia

Met. Skopje – Shkendija , shkendija -1,75 @1.96 sbobet ; 1.98 bet365
stake: 6/10

FT 0-4 WIN Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/fyr-of-macedonia/first-league/met-skopje-shkendija/hIgOrtd5/#ah
Metalurg have the weakest and the youngest side in league. They are struggling with huge financial problems, players without payments for more than five months, before new year 6 important players made a strike and didnt trained and didnt played one game and after that they were punished by federation with 4 months ban from football (and those 6 important players left Metalurg) so now they are even weaker. Today one important defender will miss due to suspension and few more young guys may be injured.

Shkendija is having one of best teams in league i dont want to repeat myself over and over again. Today coach said that he cna make some rotations but it will be better imo because the guys who are on bench are very quality players and now when they get chance they will be very hungry for good soccer and agressive fotball so i see here one easy win for Shkendija cuz they are better side, experience is on their side and they will have huge fan support (while Metalurg dont have fans).

only problem could be the pitch but imo Shkendija will win with minimum 2 goals

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Macedonia picks

Shkupi – Sileks under 2,25 @1.8 sbobet
stake: 4/10
FT 1-0 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/fyr-of-macedonia/first-league/shkupi-sileks/0rcWtKQH/#ou

pitch in very bad condition, it was raining already 2-3 days without stopping and there is lot of water on field and imo there wont be good conditions this game to be played.

Shkupi is like u know very defensive side and they play dirty football with many tackles and always on low goals.
Sileks on away ground is same style, they dont push too much they wait their chances on counters and usually away games for them are low scoring vs teams like Shkupi where they know they can get some point, today with big absence because Mickov is unavailable and two more players doubtful.
i expect here 0-0 or minimal win for some of the sides.

 

Bregalnica – Turnovo under 2,5 @1.70 bet365
stake: 6/10

bregalnica -0,5 @2.09 sbobet ; 2.1 bet365
stake: 2/10

FT 2-0 win win everything win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-DSpain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/fyr-of-macedonia/first-league/bregalnica-stip-turnovo/nugSs0BB/#ah

bregalnica’s field is biggest waterlogged pitch for today in whole Macedonia, its raining in whole country already few days without stopping but definitelly on East part of country there is too much rain and pitch is in terrible condition, game will be played in Kochani again and me and my friends yesterday were on that stadium and it was terrible, it was raining whole night and today whole morning so its even more bad now. Maybe game wont be even played because of bad conditions.

Bregalnica for me is favourite here and should win this game, quality is on their side they bought very good players in winter transfer period and now with this roster they should avoid relegation easily imo. Good news is that Mitrev(Df 23/0) is back in team.

Turnovo still with problems on keeper’s position, first keeper Stoilkov got injury and now the other keeper is doing big mistakes in every game. Also few defenders will miss out again. Experience and quality on Brega’s side.

 

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