CheGuevara Picks

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Strong free pick (after long time)

Mouscron – Kortijk , kortijk +0.25 @1.88 pinnacle
stake 4/10

x2 @1.60 , Kortijk dnb @2.05

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/belgium/jupiler-league/mouscron-kortrijk/pOEVH73g/#ah

Mouscron and Kortijk just small distance betvveen them so no real home advantage,

Before 1 month this tvvo teams met vven Kortijk vvas hosts and vvon 2-1, being clearly better team… Mouscron in that game used very strong line up, today compared to that day game they miss 7 players from first line u p (betvven them 3 top scorers), out are Stojanovic(mf 29/4), Trezeguet(mf 26/6 topscorer), Markovic(mf 28/6 top scorer), Hubert(mf 30/1), Tirpan(df 26/0), Diedh iou(att 35/6 top scorer), Kabasele(att 15/3), Simic(df 30/1), Gulan(df 26/0), Mohamed(mf 32/0)… huge missings. I see Kortijk standing unbeaten here vs young home line

 

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Venezuela, strong info

Tachira – Caracas dnb2 @1.73 bet365
stake: 6/10

ft 1-1 void :-)
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/venezuela/primera-division/dep-tachira-caracas/Uaz0Ythf/#ha

Tachira have very important game in Libertadores in midweek so coach decide to give a rest to all starters. They asked federation if its possible Tachira to send to this match u20 team. Most probably they will give chance to youngsters (not bench players and reserves BUT YOUNGSTERS!).

Caracas is having good team too, they are fighting for play off and with this info about the hosts they should be big favourites in this game, gl

 

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Sinagpore again.

Brunei DPMM – Albirex Niigata x2 @1.62 bet365
stake: 5/10
ft 1-2 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/singapore/s-league/brunei-dpmm-albirex-niigata/zqtvJJX0/#ha
I cant understand this odds.
Brunei is strong at home its true, they have good coach etc etc, but they dont have enough power to be favourite in game vs Albirex.

At the moment Albirex is playing best soccer in Singapore, they attack a lot, they create chances, they won best team Tampines in last round. Their motivation and selfconfidence is on super high level. They welcome back first gk after injury, big boost.

Brunei is good team too but for Albirex they are not enough good, in first game this season Albirex 3-2 Brunei, but that game should finished with 5-1 . Yes i am serious, Albirex missed ton of chances and should have scored 5 goals easily there, and Brunei scored two goals thanks to Albirex’s keeper who made two terrible mistakes, otherwise Brunei very hard created chances.

another important fact for this bet for me is that Brunei is missing key player, foreigner Paulo Sergio(mf 8/0) who is suspended. 

fair odds for x2 here should be 1.35 maximum, value big for me.

1 Comment »

Singapore!

Balestier Khalsa – Young Lions 1 @1.62 bet365
stake: 5/10

ft 3-1 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/singapore/s-league/balestier-khalsa-young-lions/hMR5cilQ/#1×2

Well this is simply must win game for Balestier here. I bet against them in last few rounds but now its time for their win. last season’s best home team in league now is still without a win, but that was becuase of their games in AFC, now they are not interested in that competition anymore according to words of coach and they focus totally on this competition. Coach Steve Kean(ex Blackburn) told that this is must win for them and they will go with all power for a win.

Young Lions are worst side in league and very young team, they still miss some players with int duty and 1 injured. They are bad on away ground and have no experience, quality and experience on home side.

they met already once this season Young Lions won 1-0 but Balestier killed them totally in that game and Young Lions deserved to lose that game, easy home win here for me.
Balestier at home always win easily vs Y.Lions.  h2h:
Balestier 1-0 YL , Balestier 5-1 YL , Balestier 3-1 YL , Balestier 2-0 YL

1 Comment »

Macedonia

Macedonia Women Cup
ZFK Top Gol – ZFK Borec , top gol -1,75 @1.85 bet365
stake: 6/10
FT 3-1 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D

Top Gol after the winter break have made great signings and they already proved that they are very serious team now, they lost just 2-1 vs the champion Dragon (who usually always win their games with 3-4 goal difference), this shows u how strong Top Gol is now… they have serious ambitions in the cup and here i see easy win with 3-4 goal difference.

Borec came in Bitola with just 14 players (12 players + 2 keepers, but keepers are players too :D funny league).. big quality difference, i expect here easy home win with 3-4 goals for the hosts.

gl

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u21 pick

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France u21 – Macedonia u21 , macedonia +2ah @1.76 12bet
stake: 6/10
FT 2-2 win easy Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/europe/euro-u21/france-u21-fyr-macedonia-u21/bwaffJRL/#ah

i go here with higher stakes, in last round we bet on France -1,25 vs Scotland and they delivered we won, but no we will go against them.. this line is simply too big imo, true France is superpowerfull but their attack didnt seemed very good. In that game France got two big absences. best defender Laporte got injury, Lucas Hernandez another defender also got injury and both will miss out. Also from earlier out are Zouma(key defener Chelsea), Mendy(imp defender Marseille) both injured and Coman(att 9/2 Bayern Munich) and Martial(att 12/4) are now in A selection but ok they both missed previous game vs Macedonia too so nothing serious

Macedonia have best generation in last 10 years i can say, this is our future, our best potential. They must win this game and coach said that we will attack for win and its good because in defending we are not good but if we try to play posession game like we do usually we can do something, we did that in previous game vs France back in November and we got 2-2 draw (we were leading 2-0 but france come back).. now we have full squad available all best u21 players who usually play for A selection are in u21 squad now, and important defender Murati is back after injury.

i dont see us loosing here with more than 2 goal difference, gl

2 Comments »

U21 pick

France u21 – Scotland u21 , france -1,25 @1.88 sbobet
stake: 5/10
FT 2-0 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/europe/euro-u21/france-u21-scotland-u21/xOAoduc9/#ah

firstly line was too high -1,75 but now this -1,25 is very ok and value for me.

France have superstrong generation and they shouldnt have problems with winning this game, they have to win to go on 1st position in the group, Iceland made just a draw vs my Macedonia so ideal chance for France now, they have few injuries but coach have plenty of talented players so that isnt some worry.

Scotland u21 is now missing 3 important players who are called for A selection and that is minus for them. In previous game when they met Scotland was at home and lost 1-2 (but France totally killed them and should have been easy win for France with 2-3 goal difference..)
now again I expect huge France domination and easy win. gl

1 Comment »

SION

Sion – Basel 2 @1.95
stake: 4/10
ft 0-2 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D

Sion with many important absences again, in last game they were in troubles with missings and now same situation. Only good news is that Konate(att 17/6) and Ziegler(df 18/1) are back in squad but they got new absences. Vanins(first gk 23/0), Salatic(mf 20/2), Ndoye(mf 13/0) and Jagne(df 17/0) are new missings, Carlitos(att 20/4), Bia(att 8/2), Kouassi(mf 10/0), Adao(mf 2/0) and long term injured Cmelik(mf) and Mboyo(att) are all unavailable

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Cro1

Rijeka – Zapresic, rijeka -1,5 @1.83 pinnacle
stake: 4/10
ft 4-0 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/croatia/1-hnl/rijeka-zapresic/df87r3xb/#ah

Rijeka at home is unstoppable, they have to win games like this cuz they are in title fight and they cant afford loosing points at home anymore. For this game no important absences.

Zapresic on this trip with four suspended players, Covic(first gk 7/0), Blazevic(mf 25/2), Celikovic(df 25/1) and best striker Nestorovski(att 25/16 top scorer) are all suspended, also Begic(df 13/1) is injred, All five important players!

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espanol

Getafe B – Rayo Majadahonda , rayo +0ah @1.74 sbo
stake: 4/10
Ft 1-3 WIN Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/spain/segunda-division-b-group-2/getafe-b-rayo-majadahonda/pSO5eTAb/#ah

Getafe senior team yesterday had match in league where they had many absences so they called some players from B team and now B team is weakned a lot, 3 players who were yesterday with A team are; Munoz, Carrilo and Galan – all three very important plus tehre are some injuries in the squad.

anyway GetafeB is weakest side in league and Rayo is solid team, imo Rayo can take at least a draw. gl

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