CheGuevara Picks

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Macedonia

Met. Skopje – Shkendija , shkendija -1,75 @1.96 sbobet ; 1.98 bet365
stake: 6/10

FT 0-4 WIN Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/fyr-of-macedonia/first-league/met-skopje-shkendija/hIgOrtd5/#ah
Metalurg have the weakest and the youngest side in league. They are struggling with huge financial problems, players without payments for more than five months, before new year 6 important players made a strike and didnt trained and didnt played one game and after that they were punished by federation with 4 months ban from football (and those 6 important players left Metalurg) so now they are even weaker. Today one important defender will miss due to suspension and few more young guys may be injured.

Shkendija is having one of best teams in league i dont want to repeat myself over and over again. Today coach said that he cna make some rotations but it will be better imo because the guys who are on bench are very quality players and now when they get chance they will be very hungry for good soccer and agressive fotball so i see here one easy win for Shkendija cuz they are better side, experience is on their side and they will have huge fan support (while Metalurg dont have fans).

only problem could be the pitch but imo Shkendija will win with minimum 2 goals

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Macedonia picks

Shkupi – Sileks under 2,25 @1.8 sbobet
stake: 4/10
FT 1-0 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/fyr-of-macedonia/first-league/shkupi-sileks/0rcWtKQH/#ou

pitch in very bad condition, it was raining already 2-3 days without stopping and there is lot of water on field and imo there wont be good conditions this game to be played.

Shkupi is like u know very defensive side and they play dirty football with many tackles and always on low goals.
Sileks on away ground is same style, they dont push too much they wait their chances on counters and usually away games for them are low scoring vs teams like Shkupi where they know they can get some point, today with big absence because Mickov is unavailable and two more players doubtful.
i expect here 0-0 or minimal win for some of the sides.

 

Bregalnica – Turnovo under 2,5 @1.70 bet365
stake: 6/10

bregalnica -0,5 @2.09 sbobet ; 2.1 bet365
stake: 2/10

FT 2-0 win win everything win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-DSpain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/fyr-of-macedonia/first-league/bregalnica-stip-turnovo/nugSs0BB/#ah

bregalnica’s field is biggest waterlogged pitch for today in whole Macedonia, its raining in whole country already few days without stopping but definitelly on East part of country there is too much rain and pitch is in terrible condition, game will be played in Kochani again and me and my friends yesterday were on that stadium and it was terrible, it was raining whole night and today whole morning so its even more bad now. Maybe game wont be even played because of bad conditions.

Bregalnica for me is favourite here and should win this game, quality is on their side they bought very good players in winter transfer period and now with this roster they should avoid relegation easily imo. Good news is that Mitrev(Df 23/0) is back in team.

Turnovo still with problems on keeper’s position, first keeper Stoilkov got injury and now the other keeper is doing big mistakes in every game. Also few defenders will miss out again. Experience and quality on Brega’s side.

 

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Free friendly

Mladost – Spartak Subotica , spartak -1ah @2.00 bet365

Stake 6/10

ft 0-0 lost :-(

 

Carev Dvor has no money and no payments to players more than 2 months so all players left club. Only youngsters are in squad and some low league signings.

Spartak should win them easily

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Strong free pick

Friendly
Metalurg – Renova 2 @2.5
4/10

Dnb2 @1.9
8/10
FT 1-0 BIG LOSE :-( [ renova got red card in 30min and that fucked us hard]
Metalurg will play kids!!!!! All players are gone. They lost 5 0 vs 2nd league side before fewdays.
Now vs 1st league solid team i expect another easy lose.

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Saturday picks

Killmarnock – Inverness , inverness -0,25 @1.87 sbobet
stake: 6/10
ft 2-1 lost :-(
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/scotland/premiership/kilmarnock-inverness/x0ClQbl7/#ah
Kilmarnock with big absences today, TOTALLY THEY MISS 10 PLAYERS !! three players got suspension in last game Smith(df 19/2), McHattie(df 15/1) and Magennis(att 22/7 top scorer) are all suspended, O Hara(df 19/0), Connoly(df 19/2), Westlkae(df 8/0), Higginbotham(mf 16/2), Hamill(mf 13/0),Robinson(mf 8/0) and Johnston(mf 1/0) are all injured.

Inverness miss suspended DEvine(Df 21/0) and Christie(mf 13/3) but Christie is long term absence and atmosfhere in their club is on big level. Also they are in pretty ok form and they have better h2h vs Kilmarnock. Only home advantage and fan support is on Kilmarnock’s side everything else on Inverness, i go with Inverness here.

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Plymouth – Stevenage 1 @1.73 bet365
stake: 4/10
ft 2-1 win Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/england/league-two/plymouth-stevenage/SMnuVELp/
Plymouth only two absences Boateng(mf 16/1) and Carey(mf 20/7) but their new signing Jordon Forster can make debut after signing.
Stevenage in big problems, whole season they are having injury problems and now again… Kennedy(mf 11/1), Cox(mf 5/0), Okimo(df 10/1), Wells(df 15/2), SChumacher(Df 15/2), Parret(mf 11/1), McAlliser(mf 1/0), Whelpedale(mf 19/8 top scorer) and Joronen(gk 10/1) are all injured

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france ligue 2

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.foraapps.bettingadvice

Sochaux – Niort , niort +0,5 @1.71 12bet,dafabet
stake: 5/10
FT 2-3 WIN Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/france/ligue-2/sochaux-niort/Aq1MPmxD/#ah

i am not a big fan of Niort because they play very boring games but now i will bet on them cuz Sochaux in serious troubles tomorrow, they will miss 12 players. Onguene(df 17/1) is suspended, Martin(att 16/1), Sao(att 15/0), COllaco(df 12/0), Rayo(df 11/0), Ramare(mf 13/0), Vivian(df 5/0), Ekambi(att 17/6 top scorer) and first gk Werner(14/0) are all injured, Berenguer(att), Zouma(df) and Senzemba(df 3/0) are long term injuries too.
Most important of all this are Martin, Ekambi, Ramare and Rayo cuz all of them are playing key roles and its hard to be replaced, also first gk Werner and key central u19 defender Onguene are serious blows in the defence… we will see how will Sochaux look without them tomorrow but i dont predict them good outcome.

Niort played very nice last game versus one of top teams in league Dijon (2-2) but Niort was the better team and deserved the win there.. i expect another good performance here thanks to the selfconfidence which they got after that point and good performance vs top side as Dijon, i dont see Niort loosing here with all those absences in home team, gl

+0,25 @2.00 asia is good bet too

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Bangabandhu Gold Cup

Bangladesh – Malaysia u23 1 @2.10 bet365
stake: 6/10
ft 1-1 lost :-(
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/world/bangabandhu-gold-cup/bangladesh-malaysia-u23/nZ1ezeWH/#ha

odds for home win dropped from 2.50 to 2.10 but i still see value here till 1.85 on home win.

Bangladesh is coming on this tournament with strong and experience roster. There are just few good players who are not in squad that are> Haque(att 15/7) and Komol(df 22/1), all others who are in form and playing good at the moment are in roster!

Malaysia on this tournament is coming with B team or better said with u21 generation (or even better said with u19 squad cuz in this squad of 30 players who come on this tournament just 4 have 21 years all others are 19 or younger!) http://prntscr.com/9oyii0 i see here big experience difference on home side and even bigger quallity difference.

in friendly game on 29/08/2015 when Malaysia (A senior team) and Bangladesh met match finished 0-0 (game was played in Malaysia). now Malaysia u21 team vs Bangladesh best roster.. win for Bangladesh clear for me here.

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10 Comments »

Mexico 2nd league

Mexico Liga de Asenco
Cafetaleros – Correcaminos , cafetaleros -0,5 @1.775 12bet,10bet

stake: 4/10
ft 0-1 lost :-(
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/mexico/liga-de-ascenso/cafetaleros-de-tapachula-correcaminos/pURhakFQ/#ah

starting odds from 1.85 dropped but still value imo.

Quallity here deep on home side for me, Cafetaleros in Apertura finished on 7th place with 22 pts and they catched the play offs, the boss promised to the fans that they will got very strong team for new year and those promises come true this year, Cafetaleros made very very strong roster. They bought amazing players with big first league experience and even some ex national team players, new signins are; goalkeeper Pinto(32y old ex Atlas), Huiqui(32y old great defender ex Morelia), Cortes(32y old midifler ex Veracruz), Gil(29y old midifler ex Veracruz), Tamay(ex Puebla), great chilean striker Diaz(ex Puebla), Carreno(exp sriker, ex Chiapas) and few more… very very strong and experienced squad at the moment and their target now is the top! http://chiapaspolitico.com/inicia-el-camino-por-el-titulo-para-cafetaleros/

Correcaminos finished in Apertura on 15th place (2nd from bottom) with just 13 points.. Traditionally on away ground they play very bad.. for example they are having  0w-2d-9l in last 11 games on away ground and between them were very high losses..

imo this should be an easy home win without any doubts and fair odds here should be maximum 1.65

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free sunday strong pick! Iran

Saipa – Esteghlal AHV , saipa -1,25 @2.00 sbo
stake: 6/10
FT 4-1 easy win  Spain Segunda Spain Segunda  :-D 
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/iran/persian-gulf-pro-league/saipa-esteghlal-ahv/CKcImjtT/#ah

Saipa is top team, with a win today they can go in top 3, they have no important absences today and you know that home field factor in this league is very important. Saipa usually play closed football with small number of goals but vs poor Esteghlal they should score 2 or more.

Esteghlal is terrible, no money, no coach, no trainings, no players etc. Its still unknown who will play and who wont. Situation in club is very very bad. Also on away ground they are worst team in league 0w-2d-4l with 0 scored goals!

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Handball Seha

Vojvodina – Maks Strumica , vojvodina -9 @1.85 pinnacle,10bet
stake 10/10 for me
LOST, big lose.. Vojvodina won with just 5 goal difference (Strumica played whole game with same 7 players but that wasnt enough for Vojvodina to win with more than 9 goals) :-(
http://www.oddsportal.com/handball/europe/seha-liga/vojvodina-maks-strumica-WOMLmN3a/
others have -8,5 @1.85 eurobookies

I bet huge here. Maks Strumica only with 4 senior players on this match. All players left club becuase of unpaid wages for around 4 months…

Vojvodina should win this one easily with 20 goals

this would be vip pick but only pinnacle and limits 250euro so nothing

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