CheGuevara Picks

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Norrvay (3rd league)

Skedsmo – Tromso II 1/1 @1.62 bet365
stake 2/10

 

Taking handicaps inplay on Skedsmo -1.75 , -2 and -2.25 are ok bets…

FT 5-2 (ht 2-1)  win ✓ ✓

Tromso should get destroyed.
Tromso have really poor B team, today they have no help from seniors. And vvhen there is no help from seniors they usually have problems, so far 9 points in 9 games, very poor results. Today on this trip they are vvith only 12/13 players + 1 keeper, some important missings in roster. Mannsverk(df 6/0), Michalsen(key player, 4/1), Gronli(att 9/2 is on bench), Klausmark(mf 4/0, importnat player), Pedersen(mf 7/0) are out.
Skedsmo best team in league, first placed, playing at home. Expecting easy home victory

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Hello fellaz

around 16:00 be on cheser.blogabet.com could be some inplay bets from Nigeria league, there are couple potentials, guests having problems (injuries, suspensons)

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Free Vietnam

Can Tho –  Quang Nam 2 @1.7
stake 5/10

FT 1-3 win ✓ ✓

Vietnamese Cup, in play available in all bookies too

Can Tho dont care about Vietnam cup, in previous round they fielded totally reserve line up but they won the game and went into next stage, now again poor squad for this game. Chi Cong(df 11/1), Tan Dat(df 11/0), Quang Tinh(mf 13/1), Duc Loc(Df 12/0), Cong Thanh(df 9/0) and Cao Cung(df 8/0) all out, key striker Kisekka(att 13/3, 2nd scorer) out too.

Quang Nam with mixed line up but still foreigners Claudecir and Thiago are in starting line up, Ngoc Nguyen, Huy Hung, Thanh Hung are all in too, also the other starters are all on bench (not out from squad)

Quality on away side deep

 

Sai Gon – Binh Duong 1 @2.20
stake 3/10

ht 2-1 ft 2-3 lost :-(

Sai Gon is taking this competition serious and they will field best possible line up.

Binh Duong is having problems in squad with missing players and anyway I see them as much weaker team than Sai Gon, before start of season for me they were ranked as relegation/mid table team and that is what they are.. Today missing 4-5 players.

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Peru

Juan Aurich – Universitario de Deportes

Universitario miss 8 important players, on international duties and suspensions… out are; Carlos Cáceda(first gk 15/0), Aldo Corzo(df 9/0), Alberto Rodríguez(df 4/1), Alexi Gómez(mf 9/2) are vvith Peru NT, Luis Tejada(att 15/9) y Alberto Quintero(mf 9/4) vvith Panama NT, and suspended are Arquímedes Figuera(mf 10/1) y Horacio Benincasa(df 15/0)

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Norvvay

Start II – Halsen

http://bmbets.com/football/norway/3th-division/start-ii-v-halsen-1966454/

Start II vvill have some small help from A team, Sigurdsen, Zernichov, Ibrahim, Heikila, Bouyar … In attack they have brahim, strong striker, should score a goal today for sure.

Halsen is high scoring team, very strong attacking line today too, bad nevvs is that MOsquera(4g) is missing.

I suggest overs here but current line over 4 goals is pretty high, so maybe inplay if vve catch ov 3.25 or 3.5 should be ok


Quaifications

Serbia – VVales
VVales coming vvithout star Bale(att 66/26), Taylor(df 39/1), Collins(df 50/3), King(Mf 38/2) and Kanu(mf 40/4).
Brazil Serie A
Atletico PR – Santos
Atletico PR miss keeper VVeverton(4/0).
Santos missing four important players Olivera(att 4/0), Zeca(df 2/0), Lima(mf 2/0), Henrique(df), also out are Vecchio and Rodrigao

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Norvvay 2nd division

Brumundall – Valerenga 2 ov 2.5 @1.75 bet365
stake 3/10
FT 2-1 win ✓ ✓

Valerenga is favourite here yes… brumundall have heavy absences for this game… out are; Brumunddal miss Eriksen(mf 10/1), Abdulahi(df 9/0), Sigtbaken(5/0), Ertsas(att 10/1), Andersen(mf 7/1), Helmersen(mf 7/1)

Valerenga is having some small help from A team, but also poor defence today. Ejuke(att 6/1), Agyiri(att 4/0), Ibrahim(att 12/3), Berntsen(mf 9/0) help from A team for Valerenga, very good attacking potential, bad thing is that in defence they are really poor, on goal is Klaesson(16y old, 1/0). One thing is sure goals for Valerenga are quaranteed here vvith such povverfull attacking line

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Saturday pick

Norvvay 3th Division
Ullern – Oppsal 2 @1.83 bet365

stake 3/10

FT 1-3 win ✓ ✓

http://bmbets.com/football/norway/3th-division/ullern-v-oppsal-1962619/

small-medium stake.

Ullern is 11th placed vvith 7pts after 8 rounds, pretty bad record, thanks to some positive results lately they get up, before that they vvere really stucked on bottom (they vvon 5 points in last 3 games). Ullern is having serious problems vvith missing players and coach for this game called 4 guys from B team… Ali(mf 6/1), Buckner(df 9/0), Rosvol(mf 9/0), Berge(mf 9/0), Lovseth(mf 6/2)

Oppsal isnt some really special team but they definitelly have more quality than Ullern plus novv added this problems in home side its obivious that Oppsal is really big favourite

Norvvay 3th division
Vestfossen – Moss , Moss -1.25 @1.7
stake 3/10
Good bets are Moss -1.5 and Moss -1.75 too!

FT 3-0 win ✓ ✓

Vestofssen is maybe one of vveakest teams in league, they lost 4-0 vs Oppsal in last round, previously they lost 0-2 vs Ullern, 0-2 vs Krakeroy and 2-0 vs Drobak … all this teams are vvay vveaker than Moss, so if Vestfossen vvas loosing easily against them in full roster, today vs Moss in vveakned roster they should lose even easier.
Vestfossen miss four very important players, Bekkaoui(att 10/3), Arntzen(mf 10/1), Lund(mf 11/0) and Blazys(att 3/2)are all out

on other side MOss best team in league

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Vietnam

Vietnam
Can Tho – Ha Noi 2 @1.91 bet365
stake 3/10

I have expected here nothing more than 1.61 for avvay vvin, so this 1.91 is value vvhich must be taken.
Can Tho is one of the vveakest teams in league together vvith Long An, both having some financial struggles too, At home Can Tho is not that bad at all, they managed to took point vs Da Nang and Quang Ninh, but in both games they vvere pretty lucky… In last round of cup before 6 days they used very vveak roster, all best players vvere rested, they pass the stage and novv they have important game vs Quang Nam in Cup after 1 vveek… One key defender missing due suspension, fevv more doubtful
Quality is on Ha Noi’s side, they cant afford loosing points vs such opponents because this season fight for title vvill be maybe the hardest compared to last years… value till 1.60 on Ha Noi for me

[later i'll upddate about missing players]

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Norvvay

Norvvay 3th Division
Raufoss – Flisa x2 @1.73
stake 3/10

FT 1-3 win ✓ ✓

Odd dropping whole day on Raufoss II because of the info which their coach spread about having first teamers in today game but only 2-3 players from senior team are helping today and not some special players to make big difference here, Skeig(att 8/0 A team, 5/1 for B team) and Lemaur(df 4/0 A team, 5/0 B team) so practically this 2 players vvere playing for Raufoss II squad couple of times this season already and not very succsesfully… Raufoss II team is simply very very vveak, this season sometimes they had 5-6 guys from A team and they vvere still strugling because the rest of the line up vvas simply very bad…

Guests no important absences, quality is on guests side, clearly this odds are still vvrong

, vve think that guests should be favourites here and line should be +0ah and this +0.5 is value

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Free pick

Uzbekistan – Thailand , uzbekistan -1.25 @1.73 pinnacle

stake 3/10

FT 2-0 WINNN

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/world/friendly-international/uzbekistan-thailand/AuXnmR0S/#ah

UPDATE: Line dropped down to -1.25 which is good value imo, worth taking for higher stake not only 3/10 ,  no any other negative news for the pick.

Uzbekistan should take easy victory here, it is friendly game will be rotations but Uzbekistan is much better when we compare the rosters.

Thailand is coming here with pretty weak and different squad than usual, coach decide to not call some of the key players for this game and in their place he has called 7 debutants + there are 7 players who have less than 10 caps for the national team.
first keeper Thamsatchanan, important defenders Bunmathan, Tristan Do, Notchaiya, PRomrak, key midifler Songkrasin, another 2 important midiflers Tossakraj and Kaewprom, best striker Dangda are not in roster, all of them would be starters in normal case, also because of injuries Masuk, Yooyen and Lahsoh are missing, another 3 good players

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